am/FX Archive

With the passing of Doyle Brunson, today is a good day to compare poker to trading.

FOMC today .. Here is my grid of subjective probabilities for Fed and market outcomes.

Some takeaways from Day 1 of the Crypto and the Future of Finance conference in Sarasota, Florida.

Some thoughts on the veracity of market seasonality.

Today I push back on the USD doom hysteria that has overrun FinTwit. This does not mean I can’t be bullish bitcoin, though.

Today’s piece is Rabbit Hole Number 7. Thoughts on the two-tier US banking system.

Talking about how my internal pattern recognition algorithm senses something is off here with this equity bear market.

I want to be short USD, but not yet. In today’s piece, I explain why and where I would like to get short USDJPY and long NZDUSD.

The market is in constant reassessment mode here as there are five possible outcomes for the US economy in 2023 and the odds of each keep changing.

A bit of numerology and entertainment in today’s piece, but also some useful takeaways for trading.

If Eminem and Dr. Seuss had a baby, this is what he’d sound like.

Today, a short discussion of how I use RSI and a quick thought on the role of positive interest rates in setting the price of money in a functioning capitalist economy.