The Spectra Markets Archive

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Highlights

Tidbits

Initial Claims don’t mean revert. Technicals vs. seasonals battle in stocks

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Myriad

Much to discuss today

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RBNZ and US bonds

Hawkish RBNZ hasn’t unlocked much upside for NZJDPY yet. US bonds trade well.

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Bullish NZDJPY

Hawkish RBNZ plus solid JGB auction plus stock market OK = NZDJPY higher

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EM and The Trump Strangle

EM should be safe unless upward yield velocity increases. Policy is inherently mean reverting.

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Late to the party

The Moody’s downgrade offers no new information but plays to the market’s narrative bias

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NIIP Thoughts

I was going to use “Rolling in the NIIP” as my title but I exercised self-control

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Entracte

We are in the intermission between Act 1 and Act 2 of the Trade War

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