The Spectra Markets Archive

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Bits and pieces

A Friday mélange that touches on the USD and the psychology of willpower

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Icarus and Lazarus

Jensen flew too close to the sun. AUDNZD puts are back from the dead.

Highlights

NQ, Fed, and bullish gold

My bullish gold view today is more about micro action, not macro fundamentals, but I think the macro could catch up to the bullish micro at some point and the risk management is easy

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Oil, EUR, themes

Maybe he knew the war was unpopular, even before midterms and Vance’s tweet?

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Two years is a long time

The implications of midterms are marginal; a Dem sweep was 75% priced

Friday Speedrun

Wobbling

The AI Capex Narrative is Wobbling.

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Switching costs

I changed my mind. I’m sorry.

The Macro Trading Floor podcast

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