The Spectra Markets Archive

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Fading the Fade

Took profit on the CADCHF. Now entering short GBPJPY.

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A bit like 2018

This cycle looks a bit like the one in 2018. It ended similarly too, so far.

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VAR Shock

It’s all blowing up right now, but tomorrow is Tuesday. First, be ready for ISM!

Friday Speedrun

Run to the Hills

50bps is now very likely to be the size of the first cut, which will be delivered at the September FOMC meeting.

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50 Beeps

ISM Employment, Claims, ADP, and everything else all say the same thing.

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Jobs and JPY

The labor supply argument becomes less convincing if Claims roof.

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DEC 2022 Redux

The BOJ / MOF / JPY setup and result are the same as December 2022.

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Bank of Japan

The arguments in favor of a hike are stronger than the arguments against.

Friday Speedrun

Degrossed

It’s not so much the “WHY?” as the “WHAT?” that matters most in markets. Keep your eyes peeled for good news / bad price setups.

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JPY and Cable

Taking profit on the USDJPY and looking for a way to get short GBPUSD for corporate month end.

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